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FSB research indicates growth ahead for 2013

18 December 2012 PR/2012/41

FSB News Release
PR 2012 41
Issue date: Tuesday 18 December 2012

FSB research indicates growth ahead for 2013

Small firms cautiously optimistic heading into 2013 as they look to invest and more access finance

Latest research by the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) shows small firms are displaying cautious optimism heading into the New Year and a greater level of confidence compared to the same time last year.

While the Small Business Index – the measure of confidence in the sector – fell by 1.1 points against Q3 to record a score of -5.6, it is some 18.8 points higher than Q4 last year – just as the economy entered into double-dip recession.

The Small Business Index has been a good indicator of GDP, so with recent forecasts indicating that growth will continue to be slow in 2013, this slight optimism will provide good news. However, weighing against that optimism are the cost pressures which still face small businesses. Those sectors that rely on discretionary spending are struggling as incomes remain squeezed. Almost two thirds of respondents cite the weak domestic economy as a block to achieving their growth aspirations, showing how the optimism felt comes with a health warning.

Fewer small firms applied for finance in the quarter, but in good news, of those that did a higher proportion were accepted – 49.3 per cent up from 42.8 per cent in Q3. This is a move in the right direction, but less than one in 10 respondents still consider credit to be easily available. The FSB wants to see the new business bank improve competition in the sector and promote alternative sources of finance – especially for more businesses to be able to bring forward investment decisions.

Investment is a priority for around a third of firms in the coming 12 months. The FSB hopes that the increase in capital allowances announced at the Autumn Statement means that this number will increase. By allowing small firms to invest up to £250,000 into their business without paying tax will hopefully provide enough of an incentive to bring forward investment plans.

Despite this cautious optimism, the FSB warns that the environment in 2013 looks to remain challenging as inflation and energy prices will continue to affect both households and small businesses' finances. The cancellation of January's 3p fuel duty increase will help firms, but the FSB believes that road-users need greater certainty to what their overheads will be from one budget to the next.

John Walker, National Chairman, Federation of Small Businesses, said:

"This quarter's report shows cautious optimism from the UK's small firms. There's no doubt that it is still a tough environment and the Autumn Statement highlighted that it's going to be tougher for longer. However, small firms want to get on, grow their business and invest. We urged the Chancellor to put small firms at the heart of the Autumn Statement and many of his plans will help – especially raising the tax free investment limits.

"However, there is still more to do – especially around accessing finance. While more small firms have been accepted this quarter, it is clear from our research that others continue to struggle. Previous recessions have shown that demand for finance is at its highest during the recovery stage. The independent SME finance monitor concluded that businesses are unconfident that the banks will lend to them. The fact that fewer firms applied seems to corroborate this and further highlights the broken relationship between small firms and the banks. The small business bank needs to address this by opening up competition, especially if small firms are to bring forward investment plans."

ENDS

Notes to Editors

1. The FSB is the UK's leading business organisation with around 200,000 members. It exists to protect and promote the interests of the UK's Real-Life Entrepreneurs who run their own business. More information is available at www.fsb.org.uk
 
2. The FSB ‘Voice of Small Business' Index is a quarterly macro-economic report analysing the trends of small businesses in the UK market. To view the ‘FSB Voice of Small Business' Index please go to www.fsb.org.uk/small-business-index

3. This report has been produced by the centre for economic and business research (cebr) for the FSB. The figures are based on a survey of FSB members, carried out by Research by Design, between 6-19 November 2012 and received 2,546 responses. To find out more visit www.fsb.org.uk/survey-panel

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